Regional and local drivers of vegetation and humidity dynamics in Western Siberia during the Holocene: A case study of Mukhrino mire

The Western Siberian peatlands rank among the largest in the Northern Hemisphere. This study investigates peatland development and palaeohydrological changes of the Mukhrino mire during the Holocene focussing on climatic, regional and local factors. The multiproxy and multi-core approach reveals spatial variability driven by topography and sedimentary conditions. Our study integrates testate amoebae, plant macrofossils, peat geochemical and biomarkers to provide insights into past vegetation and environmental conditions. Peat accumulation in Mukhrino mire began in the early Holocene, with regional vegetation influenced by climatic and soil factors. Forest cover has been present since the Early Holocene. Birch and pine dominated in the drained areas and episodic regional presence of Tilia and Ulmus indicated warmer intervals. Since ~8800 cal yr BP, Mukhrino mire transitioned to an oligotrophic/ombrotrophic state dominated by Sphagnum fuscum . A key focus of this study is the dynamics of peatland surface wetness over millennia. Proxy-specific responses revealed both short-term variability (via testate amoebae) and long-term climatic trends (via plant macrofossils). Local dry phases (~6500–5700/4700 and 2200–1800 cal yr BP) resulted in partial mire afforestation, while wetter periods (~5700/4700–2500 cal yr BP) facilitated the restoration of its current state. Comparisons with prior studies identified two wet and four dry zones, with synchronised wetness trends across cores despite localised variations in peat accumulation rates. A pronounced local wet phase (~6700–6800 cal yr BP) corresponds with a marker layer from nearby Lake Svetlenkoye sediments (~8000–6700 cal yr BP), attributed to Ob River palaeo-floods. This evidence supports the presence of regionally wet environmental conditions during this period.