Flooding hazard mapping in floodplain areas affected by piping breaches in the Po River, Italy

AbstractIn recent years, flood-related risk has been increasing worldwide, being inundations among the natural disasters which induce the maximum damage in terms of economic losses. In the research reported in this paper, a methodology to map the flooding residual hazard due to levee failure events induced by piping in embankments protecting flood-prone areas is proposed. Ensemble simulations are used to account for uncertainties in location, geometry, and time-evolution of the levee breaches. Probabilistic flooding-hazard maps are generated combining the results of 192 inundation scenarios, simulated by using one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (2D) hydrodynamic models. The methodology is applied considering 96 different locations and sizes of breaches occurred along a 23-km reach protected by the right levee of the Po River, the right levee of the Taro River, and the left levee of the Parma River, which delimit a 100-km2 study area. The influence of obstacles to the flood propagation and consequent...